B. J. Kuipers. 1984. Commonsense reasoning about causality: deriving behavior from structure.
Artificial Intelligence 24: 169-203, 1984.

Abstract

This paper presents a qualitative-reasoning method for predicting the behavior of mechanisms chracterized by continuous, time-varying parameters. The structure of a mechanism is described in terms of a set of parameters and the constraints that hold among them: essentially a `qualitative differential equation'. The qualitative-behavior description consists of a discrete set of time-points, at which the values of the parameters are described in terms of ordinal relations and directions of change. The behvaioral description, or envisionment, is derived by two sets of rules: propagation rules which elaborate the description of the current time-point, and prediction rules which determine what is known about the next qualitatively distinct state of the mechanism. A detailed example shows how the envisionment method can detect a previously unsuspected landmark point at which the system is in stable equilibrium.

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Retrospective

In 1993, this paper was honored as one of the 25 most-cited papers in the first 50 volumes of the Artificial Intelligence Journal. A retrospective on this research was published in a special issue.
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